Tuesday, February 19, 2008

It's over for Hillary

As I had predicted (on my Persian blog) Barack Obama won all February contests. For all the media speculation about the so called "formidable" Clinton machine, this has been a broken-down machine that keeps stalling. Hillary Clinton's muddled, undisciplined campaign--which inspite of some (late) shake-up at the top still suffered from lack of organization and for instance, up until Friday couldn't even figure out how much time it had to dedicate to Wisconsin--not only cost her humiliating defeats against Obama, but even undermined her central argument that she is the candidate with enough experience to run an efficient operation in the capacity of the President of the United States.

The Wisconsin cross tabulations show it's probably too late for Clinton to pull this thing off. My prediction is that on March 4 she will lose both Ohio and Texas and that would be a sour end to an inefficient, arrogant campaign that turned an inevitable candidacy into one of the biggest failures in the history of US Presidential primaries.

And the buck stops with no one other than Hillary herself.

Also-From The Guardian:

The day when the first nails went into the Clinton campaign's coffin was exactly two weeks ago - on February 6. We didn't know it at the time, but February 6 was the day when there began a big blank gap on the Clinton campaign calendar. Because her team of battle-tested veterans failed to plan for much of anything after Super Tuesday... So strongly did the Clinton campaign assume that Super Tuesday, with its 1,000-plus pledged delegates up for election in more than 20 states, would be the effective end of the nomination campaign, that it failed to have a Plan B. Organising for the string of caucuses that followed Super Tuesday Opening field offices in the smaller states? Drumming up the extra fundraising needed to pay for it? None of it, or not enough of it, got done. And as a result, when Super Tuesday failed to deliver the knock-out blow that Hillary Clinton expected, her campaign was exposed to a series of rapid jabs in places like Maine, Virginia and now Wisconsin - states the Clinton campaign should have competed in strongly, not lost by double digits...

Saturday, February 09, 2008

Demagogary VS. substance

Hillary Clinton used to call it "rhetoric vs. reality." I call it demagogary vs. substance.

For the reasons that really baffle me at this point, Barack Obama, your avarage politician, is being sold to public by his mesmerized fans and media as "the one." The messiah whose time has come, "we are the ones we have been waiting for," he said in his Feb. 5 speech.

Not only that, here's what he said in a stump speech in the gym of North Charleston High School in South Carolina on January 24:

“At some point in the evening, a light is going to shine down and you will have an epiphany and you’ll say, ‘I have to vote for Barack.’”

or according to CNN:

"My job is to help him do his job. So I am going to try to be so persuasive in the 20 minutes or so that I speak that by the time this is over, a light will shine down from somewhere. It will light upon you. You will experience an epiphany. And you will say to yourself, I have to vote for Barack. I have to do it."

I have never liked Barack Obama and his third-world style, demagogic speeches which are bereft of any substance at all. But this aspect of his campaign is REALLY beginning to trouble me. Does Obama think he is Jesus? what does all this mass messianism really mean?

Obama is an inspirational politician. Granted. But to quote Joe Klein of Time:

"That is not just maddeningly vague but also disingenuous: the campaign is entirely about Obama and his ability to inspire. Rather than focusing on any specific issue or cause — other than an amorphous desire for change — the message is becoming dangerously self-referential. The Obama campaign all too often is about how wonderful the Obama campaign is."

But this is the magic formula for Obama and it's really disturbing-- for people like me who admire Hillary Clinton for her brilliant grasp of the issues that matter the most to the voters--to see it is kind of working for him.

Not that I'm kidding myself, but I truly hope that Hillary will brave the next couple of brutal weeks of February and pull this thing off in Texas, Ohio and eventually in Pennsylvania.

America needs a competent leader who is ready on day one not a preacher. Please keep this in mind before you vote.